Liverpool owner John Henry has come out and said that there is no way his club will sell Luis Suarez to Arsenal this summer but the bookmakers are not quite ready to stick in a fork in on the summer's biggest transfer sagas just yet.
You can still get odds of better than evens that Suarez is a Liverpool player by the end of the transfer window, while the odds on him joining Arsenal are just a little longer at 6/4.
John Henry vowing to keep Luis Suarez rather than sell to Arsenal; still 6/5 he stays at Anfield - http://t.co/7HFiv8nGdx
— Oddschecker (@Oddschecker) August 8, 2013
Liverpool you would imagine would be more willing to sell him to a foreign club but Real Madrid are the next shortest priced destination for Suarez at 4/1 with Bayern Munich coming next as 20/1 outsiders.
We all know who is linked with a move this summer - but it's harder to know just how likely the big transfers really are.
So we have been looking at betting patterns all summer to compile a list of transfer probabilities.
Most of the odds don't offer the option of the player staying at his current club but for some of the bigger potential deals this price is in place – so the probabilities on moves involving Suarez, Wayne Rooney, Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale can be considered most accurate.
Some of the higher probability odds have remained unchained all summer which suspects minimal action with the bookmakers happy to take any small bets that come their way. So some of the really short odds prices (such as Garay to United) should be taken with a pinch of salt.
Odds are given for each player's shortest-priced move, though many are linked with multiple clubs.
Information via Oddschecker.com